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CFL Draft Pick Values

To get an understanding of the value of a CFL draft pick we looked at all the drafts from 2010 to 2018. The CFLdb has excellent statist...

September 17, 2019

2019 CFL Defender Pass Targets and Catch Rate Through Week 14

Defender Targets Incompletions Catch%
COLEMAN, Davon 4 3 25.0
JEFFERSON, Willie 13 9 30.8
LEMON, Shawn 5 3 40.0
JEFFCOAT, Jackson 5 3 40.0
NEVIS, Drake 8 4 50.0
DAVIS, DyShawn 4 2 50.0
WYNN, Dylan 4 2 50.0
HIGHTOWER, Forrest 9 4 55.6
JOHNSON, Josh 30 13 56.7
DAVIS, Ja'Gared 12 5 58.3
BOESEN, Mat 5 2 60.0
MEANS, Solomon 10 4 60.0
ROLLE, Jumal 31 10 67.7
LAWRENCE, Simoni 22 7 68.2
WILLIAMS, Frankie 35 11 68.6
LOFFLER, Taylor 20 6 70.0
DALY, Michael 7 2 71.4
PURIFOY, Loucheiz 21 6 71.4
EVANS, Randall 21 6 71.4
COLQUHOUN, Arjen 18 5 72.2
ROBERSON, Tre 42 11 73.8
CIOFFI, Anthony 31 8 74.2
LEONARD, Richard 35 9 74.3
CARTER, Ryan 20 5 75.0
TAVAI, J.R. 4 1 75.0
WAKEFIELD, Michael 4 1 75.0
PRUNEAU, Antoine 16 4 75.0
ROSE, Winston 41 10 75.6
AMOS, DaShaun 33 8 75.8
ROSE, Jonathan 9 2 77.8
EVANS, Ciante 27 6 77.8
WALKER, Brian 9 2 77.8
WILSON, Raheem 32 7 78.1
UNAMBA, Don 14 3 78.6
BREAUX, Delvin 24 5 79.2
LATTANZIO, Ettore 5 1 80.0
BOUKA, Elie 5 1 80.0
LEE, TJ 35 7 80.0
MASTON, Mercy 5 1 80.0
BUTLER, Crezdon 10 2 80.0
ELLIS, Avery 5 1 80.0
RANDLE, Chris 41 8 80.5
MARSHALL, Nick 26 5 80.8
GRYMES, Aaron 26 5 80.8
ORANGE, Anthony 21 4 81.0
RIOS, Marcus 16 3 81.3
REID, Greg 32 6 81.3
WOODSON, Robert 11 2 81.8
BROOKS, Cariel 39 7 82.1
FENNER, Chandler 67 12 82.1
PETERS, Garry 45 8 82.2
HERDMAN, Jordan 17 3 82.4
SMITH, Brandon 29 5 82.8
DOWLING, Jonathan 12 2 83.3
USHER, Nick 6 1 83.3
COVINGTON, Anthony 18 3 83.3
LOVE, Glenn 6 1 83.3
MONTGOMERY, De'Andre 6 1 83.3
WILSON, Kyrie 19 3 84.2
EDEM, Mike 33 5 84.8
MURRAY, Derico 33 5 84.8
TUGGLE, Justin 33 5 84.8
BIGHILL, Adam 20 3 85.0
SAYLES, Marcus 40 6 85.0
HERDMAN, Justin 20 3 85.0
JUDGE, Cameron 27 4 85.2
GAITOR, Anthony 21 3 85.7
GLASS, Tyquwan 14 2 85.7
HAYNES, Kevin 7 1 85.7
EDWARDS, Chris 28 4 85.7
BOWMAN, John 7 1 85.7
DARBY, Alden 22 3 86.4
AWE, Micah 22 3 86.4
GAINEY, Ed 30 4 86.7
WASHINGTON, Trumaine 15 2 86.7
HAYES, De'Chavon 15 2 86.7
WILD, Ian 23 3 87.0
LEVELS, Patrick 48 6 87.5
HUNTER, Monshadrik 24 3 87.5
TINDAL, Corey 32 4 87.5
CAMPBELL, Tommie 43 5 88.4
MUAMBA, Henoc 26 3 88.5
BALTIMORE, Sherrod 18 2 88.9
HOWELL, Justin 9 1 88.9
MCCRAY, LJ 19 2 89.5
FERNANDEZ, Jerod 20 2 90.0
HECHT, Jeff 20 2 90.0
HUMES, Chris 11 1 90.9
DIGGS, Vontae 22 2 90.9
GUZYLAK-MESSAM, Isaiah 11 1 90.9
FARRIS, DeAndre 34 3 91.2
DOZIER, Branden 23 2 91.3
DEAN, Larry 23 2 91.3
KANNEH, Abdul 36 3 91.7
WALL, Jamar 37 3 91.9
MCMANIS, Wynton 26 2 92.3
HARRIS, Maleki 26 2 92.3
LOKOMBO, Bo 15 1 93.3
ELIMIMIAN, Solomon 17 1 94.1
DANIEL, Robertson 18 1 94.4
ALEXANDER, Brandon 20 1 95.0
ACKIE, Chris 21 1 95.2
HOLLEY, Nate 23 1 95.7
FORD, Qudarius 25 1 96.0
ADELEKE, Tunde 29 1 96.6
GREENWOOD, Cory 30 1 96.7

July 29, 2019

CFL Play Calls on First Down Through Week 7



Below is a chart showing the total ratio of passing plays to running plays in by team through the current week of play.

Team Pass(%)
British Columbia 61
Calgary 61
Edmonton 58
Hamilton 60
Montreal 54
Ottawa 57
Saskatchewan 52
Toronto 72
Winnipeg 54

July 26, 2019

CFL Riders Receiver Manny Arceneaux's Contract Comparables


The Saskatchewan Roughriders are finally going to have one of their free agents signed this past offseason in the line up when Emmanuel "Manny" Arceneaux suits up. As reported by 3DownNation's Justin Dunk, Arceneaux carries a maximum cap hit for the Riders of $92,000. Having already missed five games that will drop his maximum cap hit approximately $75,000.
In terms of his comparables against the CFL salary cap Arceneaux is in good company with Eric Rogers at a $94,000 cap hit and Brad Sinopoli at a $100,000 cap hit. Both Rogers and Arceneaux are Americans, so a surcharge for Sinopoli's National status helps his wallet.

Manny Arceneaux has been a productive receiver since entering the CFL with the BC Lions in 2009. Over 130 games he has 877 targets for 557 catches (64% success rate), 8174 yards receiving (14.7 yard average) to go along with 1033 yards after the catch (1.9 yard average), with 55 touchdowns.

By comparison, Eric Rogers of the Calgary Stampeders over 34 games he has 257 targets for 162 catches (63% success rate), 2423 yards receiving (15 yard average) to go along with 148 yards after the catch (0.9 yard average), with 21 touchdowns.

Lastly, Brad Sinopoli of the Ottawa Redblacks over 128 games he has 617 targets for 463 catches (75% success rate), 5325 yards receiving (11.5 yard average) to go along with 1435 yards after the catch (3 yard average), with 17 touchdowns.

Arceneaux and Rogers are very close in terms of production, while Sinopoli has a better catch rate, lower average pass length, but higher yards after the catch.

It seems that the Saskatchewan Roughriders have good value for what they are putting against their salary cap in Manny Arceneaux if he can stay on the field the rest of the year.

June 24, 2019

CFL Penalties By Team Contribution Through Week 2

Below is a chart showing the ratio of penalties being called by team.

Team Offence Defence Special Teams
British Columbia 21% 42% 37%
Calgary 25% 50% 25%
Edmonton 29% 58% 13%
Hamilton 26% 32% 42%
Montreal 58% 17% 25%
Ottawa 44% 38% 18%
Saskatchewan 30% 35% 35%
Toronto 57% 43% 0%
Winnipeg 10% 60% 30%

June 14, 2019

CFL Draft Pick Values



To get an understanding of the value of a CFL draft pick we looked at all the drafts from 2010 to 2018. The CFLdb has excellent statistics on games played and games started by round. With that data we have been able to determine the percentage likelihood of getting a CFL player or CFL starter from each round of the draft relative to the first round. You will find the raw data here on our site in the CFL Draft Stats tab.

Below is a chart showing, for each round, the likelihood of getting a CFL player and starter with the pick. 

Round Player Starter
First 41% 24%
Second 37% 11%
Third 11% 9%
Fourth 28% 6%
Fifth 32% 4%
Sixth 22% 2%
Seventh 5% 0.7%
Eighth 9% 0.4%

Clearly the likelihood of getting a CFL player out of the draft is very consistent through the first five rounds of the draft, except for the third round. Although to find a starter you really need those first round picks and in the later rounds it is very rare that you are going to find yourself a starting CFL player. 

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